Tyreek Hill
ADP – Draftkings – 23 – Drafters – 25 – My Rank 21
Hill had a down 2024 which I am happy to put down the complete disaster the Dolphins had on Offence last season. Tua only managed 11 games and the fact that Miami never had an NFL level backup QB on the roster really hurt.
Despite coming in under 1,000 receiving yards for the first time since 2019 there were some positive numbers in the underlying data. Hull had an 83 Catch score on ESPN Receiver scores tied for 9th best in the league. He also had a 24.65 TPRR% and an aDOT of 11.
I expect a bounce back year for Miami and Tyreek. To be able to take last years consensus 1.02 at the 2/3 turn seems remarkable value I would even be willing to chase this into the mid second round. Very few receivers have the spike week potential that Hill does.
Josh Downs
ADP – Draftkings – 100 – Drafters – 92 – My Rank – 78
This may seem like an odd one I think Daniel Jones ends up the QB here probably at some point during the Spring. We all know Richardsons struggles as an intermediate passer, although Jones is far from great he showed in the past he can support his guy in an offence. This is probably an upgrade for Downs at QB.
Pittman has had back issues you never know how that kind of injury can hamper someone long term. I also dont think hes very good.
Downs has a 24 TPRR% with three games over 80 yards last season including one over 100. He also had 107 targets in 14 games.
Justin Fields
ADP – Draftkings – 102 – Drafters – 98 – My Rank – 81
I think this a pretty straight forward one. I think he is the QB for the Jets this season, all 17 games barring a complete mess.
Since 2022 he has had 5 games over 30 points including 2 over 40 he is the definition of a guy with upside . I will probably pair him with another QB in this range as a minimum as there is a pretty shakey floor.
This Jets offence has to improve on last season and I am happy to ride Fields in this range and I am sure he will rise up ADP once spring develops. So I will be getting my shares in early best ball , look out for our later closing line Value article
Leave a Reply